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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College2.88+2.67vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.97vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.46+1.39vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.08+1.01vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University0.98+1.96vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.30-1.34vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.75-1.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.37-5.20vs Predicted
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9Penn State University0.49-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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3.97Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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4.39Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
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5.01Christopher Newport University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.96Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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4.66Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.79Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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2.8U. S. Naval Academy3.370.3%1st Place
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7.76Penn State University0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Kennedy | 16.8% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 13.0% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Jessica Thal | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 4.1% |
| Paul Luisi | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 26.6% | 29.6% |
| Mary Gamber | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Joan Boyle | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 20.0% | 18.3% | 8.2% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 30.6% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Hoover | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 20.4% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.