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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine0.08+2.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.02+0.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.43+0.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+1.42vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.58vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.69-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.84-1.45vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.44+0.02vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.64-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Southern California1.720.4%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Irvine0.080.1%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Berkeley1.020.2%1st Place
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4.15University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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6.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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6.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.55University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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9.02California State University Channel Islands-2.440.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 41.1% | 25.8% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Cole Fargo | 19.9% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 9.0% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 4.8% |
| James Melvin | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| James Kerman | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 4.2% |
| Hayley Chong | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 5.7% |
| Justin Clements | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 17.3% | 61.0% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 29.9% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.