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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.27+1.37vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.68+1.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.47-1.57vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.85-0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-2.28-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of New Hampshire0.270.2%1st Place
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3.26Middlebury College-0.680.1%1st Place
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1.43Tufts University1.470.7%1st Place
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3.4Bates College-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Connecticut-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Iannaccone | 19.8% | 40.9% | 23.9% | 13.0% | 2.4% |
| Alexie Lessing | 6.7% | 15.3% | 33.5% | 34.5% | 10.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 66.2% | 25.9% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ned Moreland | 6.2% | 14.0% | 28.5% | 36.4% | 14.9% |
| Charles Zizza | 1.1% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 15.0% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.