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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+0.43vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.27+0.35vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.68+0.23vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.85-0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-2.28-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Tufts University1.470.7%1st Place
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2.35University of New Hampshire0.270.2%1st Place
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3.23Middlebury College-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.44Bates College-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Connecticut-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 67.4% | 24.0% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 18.8% | 42.0% | 26.1% | 11.7% | 1.4% |
| Alexie Lessing | 7.7% | 16.1% | 31.0% | 35.5% | 9.7% |
| Ned Moreland | 4.8% | 14.9% | 27.6% | 37.2% | 15.5% |
| Charles Zizza | 1.3% | 3.0% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 73.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.