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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.27+0.36vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.85+0.38vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.68-0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-2.28-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Tufts University1.470.7%1st Place
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2.36University of New Hampshire0.270.2%1st Place
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3.38Bates College-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.27Middlebury College-0.680.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Connecticut-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 67.3% | 23.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 18.8% | 41.4% | 25.8% | 12.7% | 1.3% |
| Ned Moreland | 6.5% | 14.2% | 27.4% | 39.0% | 12.9% |
| Alexie Lessing | 6.1% | 17.7% | 31.3% | 32.6% | 12.3% |
| Charles Zizza | 1.3% | 3.0% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.