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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+0.59vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.27+0.64vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.68+0.52vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.37-1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-2.28-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Tufts University1.470.6%1st Place
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2.64University of New Hampshire0.270.2%1st Place
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3.52Middlebury College-0.680.1%1st Place
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2.56Bates College0.370.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Connecticut-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 58.2% | 27.6% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| River Iannaccone | 15.7% | 29.4% | 33.2% | 18.9% | 2.8% |
| Alexie Lessing | 6.9% | 11.2% | 18.5% | 49.7% | 13.7% |
| Amy Macdonald | 18.1% | 29.6% | 32.7% | 17.1% | 2.5% |
| Charles Zizza | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 11.6% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.