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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+0.59vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.27+0.65vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.37-0.47vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.68-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-2.28-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Tufts University1.470.6%1st Place
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2.65University of New Hampshire0.270.2%1st Place
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2.53Bates College0.370.2%1st Place
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3.54Middlebury College-0.680.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Connecticut-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 58.1% | 27.7% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| River Iannaccone | 16.1% | 28.0% | 33.7% | 19.7% | 2.5% |
| Amy Macdonald | 19.5% | 30.3% | 29.9% | 18.0% | 2.3% |
| Alexie Lessing | 5.3% | 12.2% | 20.7% | 46.5% | 15.3% |
| Charles Zizza | 1.0% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 12.8% | 79.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.