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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+6.90vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26+4.81vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+2.26vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+2.41vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.52+0.92vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71-0.71vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.82+3.69vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-1.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-1.81vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-0.33vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-5.54vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-3.61vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.72vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.26Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.92Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.69University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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8.98Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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11.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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7.46Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.39Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Tong | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Will Holz | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 32.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 23.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% |
| William Crary | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.