Race 8A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Samuel Bedinger 12.6% 11.8% 12.1% 15.5% 15.1% 12.9% 12.2% 6.2% 1.6%
Gerard Tonachel 12.4% 15.7% 15.5% 16.7% 13.9% 11.0% 9.3% 4.2% 1.3%
Tyler Kennedy 17.5% 17.3% 16.8% 14.4% 14.2% 9.9% 7.1% 2.2% 0.6%
Nathaniel Sabatt 30.2% 24.1% 18.1% 12.7% 7.7% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Joan Boyle 5.6% 6.8% 10.0% 11.0% 10.8% 13.3% 16.6% 17.1% 8.8%
Mary Gamber 9.9% 10.3% 12.0% 12.9% 14.1% 16.8% 14.2% 7.5% 2.3%
Jessica Thal 7.0% 8.8% 9.7% 10.6% 14.8% 16.8% 15.9% 12.1% 4.3%
Taylor Hoover 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 3.3% 3.4% 5.5% 9.1% 20.3% 52.5%
Paul Luisi 3.0% 3.1% 3.8% 2.9% 6.0% 9.3% 13.7% 29.7% 28.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.