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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+6.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.08vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+3.20vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.90+5.33vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+1.45vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+2.24vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-0.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-0.16vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.26-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.82+1.69vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-4.50vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.52-6.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-4.28vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-3.18vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.54-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.2Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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5.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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12.69University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.77Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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11.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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10.62Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.2% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 38.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Will Holz | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.