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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.35vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.09vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.52+3.80vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.13vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+3.14vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+1.44vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54+3.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-1.96vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.26-1.24vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+1.81vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-2.92vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-2.16vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.97-4.16vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.98vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.82-2.11vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.09Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.8Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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10.55Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.04Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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11.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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8.84Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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12.89University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Will Holz | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Tong | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 21.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 6.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| William Crary | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 36.2% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.