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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.90+7.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+5.77vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+4.36vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.07vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.50vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.52+0.93vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.72-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.71vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54+1.41vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18-1.79vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.71-4.81vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.20-3.93vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-1.32vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.82-1.31vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-6.02vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.93Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.23Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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10.41Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.19Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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8.98Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Crary | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Will Holz | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 6.4% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 21.4% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 34.9% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.