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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.90vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.90+7.09vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+5.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+2.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+4.86vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+0.21vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20+1.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+1.02vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.26-1.24vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-1.01vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-4.12vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-0.33vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.38-5.73vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-3.62vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.82-2.14vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-8.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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6.21Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.99Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.88Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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10.38Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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7.52Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Will Holz | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 21.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 36.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.