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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.89vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.90+7.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+6.16vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+4.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+1.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.26+1.92vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38+0.48vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.72-1.99vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54+1.45vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.82+2.84vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-2.12vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-0.36vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.20-5.03vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.52-7.29vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-5.09vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.27Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.01Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.45Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.84University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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8.88Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.71Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| William Crary | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 34.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 21.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Will Holz | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.