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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+5.03vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+4.14vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+7.51vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20+4.25vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+6.72vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.82+5.73vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18-0.02vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.04vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.90-0.74vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.26-3.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-2.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-3.86vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-6.66vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-6.00vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.52-9.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.14Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.51Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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12.73University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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7.34Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.0Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.89Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 20.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Magno | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 37.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| William Crary | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Will Holz | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.