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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+4.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+5.77vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+6.16vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+3.00vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.54+5.56vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+2.29vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97+0.72vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-1.70vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.82+1.64vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.20-3.93vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-7.08vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-2.41vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.18-6.75vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.71-9.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.0Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.56Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.53Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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8.72Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Will Holz | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| William Crary | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 15.9% | 35.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 20.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.