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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.70vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+4.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.93+5.51vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+2.30vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+0.49vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+4.14vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.14+0.72vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.25-0.88vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25-1.75vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+0.49vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.39-0.50vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-2.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.54vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.08-2.55vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.51-4.84vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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6.3Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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5.49Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.14Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.72Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.12Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.25Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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10.5Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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10.16Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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11.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Colin Brego | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.3% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% |
| Mack Fox | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Max Thompson | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 20.8% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% |
| Keenan Chung | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.