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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+5.20vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+5.56vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+3.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+3.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.50vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.93vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77-1.43vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.93+0.34vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25-1.79vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.51+0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.70-1.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-0.99vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-2.62vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.50-4.02vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.08-3.34vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.39-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.56Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.14Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.21Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.12Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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11.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
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10.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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9.98Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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10.59Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Trevor Long | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 14.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Keenan Chung | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 18.4% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| Max Thompson | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 20.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.