← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nathaniel Sabatt 28.6% 23.3% 16.5% 15.3% 7.0% 6.4% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Gerard Tonachel 11.8% 15.5% 17.0% 16.7% 14.3% 10.2% 8.5% 4.6% 1.4%
Tyler Kennedy 17.9% 17.9% 16.0% 14.4% 14.5% 9.9% 7.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Samuel Bedinger 12.7% 13.4% 13.2% 14.4% 13.4% 13.6% 12.0% 5.7% 1.6%
Paul Luisi 2.7% 3.0% 4.5% 5.1% 7.1% 10.2% 13.2% 25.5% 28.7%
Joan Boyle 5.9% 5.9% 7.9% 8.3% 12.1% 13.2% 19.8% 19.8% 7.1%
Mary Gamber 9.8% 10.3% 11.8% 12.5% 16.3% 15.3% 12.6% 8.9% 2.5%
Jessica Thal 8.8% 8.5% 10.6% 10.9% 11.4% 15.4% 16.1% 13.0% 5.3%
Taylor Hoover 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.4% 3.9% 5.8% 8.0% 20.4% 53.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.