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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.37+1.80vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+2.02vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College2.88+0.60vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.46+0.29vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University0.98+1.94vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.75-0.25vs Predicted
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7Princeton University2.30-2.29vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.08-2.85vs Predicted
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9Penn State University0.49-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8U. S. Naval Academy3.370.3%1st Place
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4.02Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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3.6Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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4.29Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
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6.94Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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5.75Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.71Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.15Christopher Newport University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.74Penn State University0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 28.6% | 23.3% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 11.8% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 17.9% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Paul Luisi | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 25.5% | 28.7% |
| Joan Boyle | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 7.1% |
| Mary Gamber | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Jessica Thal | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 5.3% |
| Taylor Hoover | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 20.4% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.