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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+5.07vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.61+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois2.51-0.39vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University1.15+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago1.01+1.27vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.65+1.05vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.96+0.18vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-0.80+3.50vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.98-2.95vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.31+0.25vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-0.85+0.26vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-0.71-0.99vs Predicted
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13Purdue University-0.41-2.78vs Predicted
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14Hope College-0.77-2.77vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.44-1.60vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-1.85-1.84vs Predicted
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17University of Toledo-2.87-0.71vs Predicted
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18Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07University of Wisconsin1.146.9%1st Place
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4.26University of Notre Dame1.6115.6%1st Place
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2.61University of Illinois2.5134.3%1st Place
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5.32Ohio State University1.159.2%1st Place
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6.27University of Chicago1.016.3%1st Place
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7.05Ohio State University0.654.3%1st Place
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7.18Michigan Technological University0.964.6%1st Place
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11.5Northern Michigan University-0.801.5%1st Place
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6.05University of Michigan0.987.4%1st Place
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10.25Hope College-0.312.0%1st Place
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11.26Grand Valley State University-0.851.5%1st Place
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11.01Michigan State University-0.711.6%1st Place
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10.22Purdue University-0.411.6%1st Place
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11.23Hope College-0.771.9%1st Place
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13.4University of Michigan-1.440.7%1st Place
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14.16Western Michigan University-1.850.4%1st Place
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16.29University of Toledo-2.870.1%1st Place
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16.87Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 15.6% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Pendergast | 34.3% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Johnston | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Reynolds | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kailyn Merkle | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Mia Pyenta | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 11.4% | 3.0% |
| William O'Haver | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 22.6% | 17.3% | 6.2% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 33.1% | 35.0% |
| Piper Luke | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 24.7% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.