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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+6.18vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+4.23vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+3.12vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+3.87vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.08+6.56vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.93+2.54vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.51+3.15vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-2.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.39+0.61vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.50-0.94vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-1.57vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-6.20vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.25-6.87vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-3.86vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.70-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.12Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.87Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston College2.930.0%1st Place
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10.15Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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5.37Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.61Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.06Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.13Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 21.1% |
| Colin Brego | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% |
| Trevor Long | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Keenan Chung | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 16.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.