← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.53+5.19vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.39+8.41vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.87vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University3.25+3.48vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College3.56+1.22vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.50+4.15vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.93+1.64vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.70+1.24vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.25-1.79vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+1.13vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-0.60vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami2.08-0.51vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University3.14-5.37vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.71vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.51-4.83vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.77-10.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.19Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
10.41Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.48Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
6.22Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.15Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.64Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
-
9.24University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
7.21Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
11.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
-
10.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
-
7.63Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
7.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.17Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
-
5.49Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% |
| Trevor Long | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% |
| Colin Brego | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% |
| Keenan Chung | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.6% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 24.8% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Mack Fox | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 7.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.