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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+9.10vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+5.07vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+3.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.93+4.55vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.25+2.23vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51+3.96vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.53-0.78vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-2.79vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39+1.32vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.25vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.05+0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.08-0.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-3.20vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-4.95vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.14-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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7.07Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.55Boston College2.930.0%1st Place
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7.23Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.96Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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5.21Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
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10.05Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.63Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Thibodeau | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 8.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Colin Brego | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 13.9% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
| Trevor Long | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Colin Richards | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 19.6% |
| Max Thompson | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 20.2% |
| Mack Fox | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Keenan Chung | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.