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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.58vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+4.03vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+3.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.93+4.52vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+4.91vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.43vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+2.12vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.77-3.69vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.25-2.76vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.14-3.44vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.51-2.15vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.08-2.71vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.39-4.54vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.05-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.03Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.14Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.24Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.56Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.85Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 7.8% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Colin Brego | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Keenan Chung | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 15.0% |
| Mack Fox | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
| Max Thompson | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 18.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% |
| Colin Richards | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.