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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.19+5.43vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+5.36vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.71+4.42vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59+3.77vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+0.71vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.43+2.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-1.23vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.54-0.16vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.94-2.50vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.35-1.44vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-4.62vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.19-2.88vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.24-7.73vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.75-0.79vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.61-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.36Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.42Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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6.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.56Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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14.21University of Miami0.750.0%1st Place
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12.13Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Williford | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Neil Stapleton | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| James Collins | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Schofield | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| August Sturm | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 6.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Raymond Manngiaratti | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 59.5% |
| Catherine Kerner | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 23.9% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.