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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.98vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+4.51vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+6.31vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.71+4.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+1.42vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+2.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+0.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-0.83vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.54-0.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.94-2.50vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.35-1.41vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-5.34vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.19-2.88vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.75+0.07vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.61-2.84vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.59-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.2%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.44Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.42Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.59Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Miami0.750.0%1st Place
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12.16Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.78Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Neil Stapleton | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| August Sturm | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| James Collins | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Schofield | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Kyle Easton | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Craig | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Raymond Manngiaratti | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 52.9% |
| Catherine Kerner | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 22.4% | 19.9% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.