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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.94+6.14vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+5.21vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+5.28vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+2.58vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.71+3.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+0.84vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19-0.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-1.94vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-1.91vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.35-0.45vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.59-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.19-1.99vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.43-3.89vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.54-5.38vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.61-2.91vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.75-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.28Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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8.14Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.06Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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9.55Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.58Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.62Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.09Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Miami0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gemperline | 7.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Easton | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Neil Stapleton | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| August Sturm | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Schofield | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Thomas Walden | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 6.3% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| James Collins | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Catherine Kerner | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 21.6% | 18.4% |
| Raymond Manngiaratti | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.