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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.94+6.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+5.12vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+3.40vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.19+6.21vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+3.24vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.35+3.48vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.40vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.59+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-2.30vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.43-0.73vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.24-4.74vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-3.86vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-6.62vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.54-5.38vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.61-2.91vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.75-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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6.4Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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8.24Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.48Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.26Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.14Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.09Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Miami0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gemperline | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| August Sturm | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Craig | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 7.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Schofield | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Neil Stapleton | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Matt Cappetta | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Easton | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| James Collins | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Catherine Kerner | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 22.3% | 17.9% |
| Raymond Manngiaratti | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.