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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.54+7.75vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.71+6.18vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+5.71vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.19+6.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.15vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.42vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67+1.53vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.43+1.25vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.24-2.68vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-3.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-4.09vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.19-5.38vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.94-5.62vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.35-4.54vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.61-2.86vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.75-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75Boston University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.71Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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5.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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8.53Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.46Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.14Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.22University of Miami0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Collins | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Benjamin Craig | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 6.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Easton | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Neil Stapleton | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Schofield | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Catherine Kerner | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 23.1% | 17.8% |
| Raymond Manngiaratti | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.