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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.61+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.14+4.22vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.96+3.93vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois2.51-1.39vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.65+1.98vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.01+0.39vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.31+3.12vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.98-2.08vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.41+1.27vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.85+1.27vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-0.80+0.47vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University1.15-6.67vs Predicted
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13Michigan State University-0.71-1.82vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-1.44-0.60vs Predicted
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15Western Michigan University-1.85-0.83vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.77-4.72vs Predicted
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17University of Toledo-2.87-0.70vs Predicted
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18Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35University of Notre Dame1.6114.4%1st Place
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6.22University of Wisconsin1.147.0%1st Place
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6.93Michigan Technological University0.965.5%1st Place
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2.61University of Illinois2.5134.2%1st Place
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6.98Ohio State University0.655.3%1st Place
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6.39University of Chicago1.017.0%1st Place
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10.12Hope College-0.311.9%1st Place
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5.92University of Michigan0.988.2%1st Place
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10.27Purdue University-0.411.8%1st Place
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11.27Grand Valley State University-0.851.2%1st Place
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11.47Northern Michigan University-0.801.1%1st Place
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5.33Ohio State University1.158.5%1st Place
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11.18Michigan State University-0.711.2%1st Place
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13.4University of Michigan-1.440.6%1st Place
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14.17Western Michigan University-1.850.4%1st Place
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11.28Hope College-0.771.4%1st Place
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16.3University of Toledo-2.870.0%1st Place
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16.8Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Pendergast | 34.2% | 24.3% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Reynolds | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailyn Merkle | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Ted Johnston | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Mia Pyenta | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 11.7% | 2.7% |
| William O'Haver | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 5.9% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 33.6% | 34.5% |
| Piper Luke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 22.9% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.