Race 10A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Mary Gamber 10.4% 10.5% 11.4% 12.9% 15.5% 14.3% 11.8% 11.4% 1.8%
Gerard Tonachel 11.7% 15.6% 15.8% 17.5% 14.5% 13.6% 6.2% 3.7% 1.4%
Nathaniel Sabatt 29.4% 19.6% 20.1% 12.7% 9.8% 5.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Jessica Thal 7.9% 9.3% 10.7% 12.2% 13.6% 14.9% 17.3% 10.1% 4.0%
Tyler Kennedy 19.2% 21.1% 13.0% 15.5% 11.5% 10.1% 6.0% 2.5% 1.1%
Joan Boyle 4.6% 7.2% 7.8% 9.2% 11.2% 15.9% 19.3% 17.1% 7.7%
Paul Luisi 3.2% 2.9% 3.1% 3.4% 6.2% 9.0% 14.5% 28.8% 28.9%
Samuel Bedinger 11.7% 12.3% 15.0% 13.1% 14.6% 12.4% 12.4% 6.6% 1.9%
Taylor Hoover 1.9% 1.5% 3.1% 3.5% 3.1% 4.4% 10.2% 19.2% 53.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.