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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.80+6.72vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.67+6.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+5.65vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.19+6.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.42vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+0.39vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71+1.35vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.35+1.40vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-2.56vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.54-0.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-4.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-4.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.61-1.03vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.19-7.63vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.94-7.55vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.75-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.65Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.39Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.35Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.4Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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9.01Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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11.97Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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14.19University of Miami0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Lyons | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Walden | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Schofield | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| James Collins | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Neil Stapleton | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| August Sturm | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 21.3% | 17.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Michael Gemperline | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Raymond Manngiaratti | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 13.1% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.