Race 8C

captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Cutter O'Connell 7.5% 8.8% 7.1% 9.5% 6.0% 6.7% 8.5% 6.7% 7.2% 6.5% 6.3% 5.9% 5.6% 4.2% 2.8% 0.7%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 5.8% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 7.6% 5.0% 7.1% 6.0% 6.0% 7.1% 7.3% 7.7% 7.1% 6.9% 4.6% 2.7%
James Collins 5.5% 4.3% 5.4% 5.4% 5.5% 6.2% 6.3% 6.0% 6.1% 7.6% 7.6% 9.1% 8.1% 8.5% 5.5% 2.9%
Matthew Schofield 3.1% 5.0% 4.3% 5.0% 5.1% 5.0% 5.3% 5.1% 7.2% 5.9% 6.4% 7.5% 8.9% 10.5% 10.9% 4.8%
August Sturm 7.7% 7.6% 6.7% 7.7% 8.6% 8.3% 7.0% 7.2% 6.6% 6.7% 7.0% 6.5% 4.8% 4.2% 2.8% 0.6%
Neil Stapleton 7.9% 7.7% 10.5% 8.3% 8.0% 7.8% 7.3% 6.8% 7.9% 5.4% 5.9% 5.1% 4.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
Kyle Easton 10.5% 8.9% 8.2% 7.8% 8.8% 8.5% 6.9% 7.4% 5.4% 5.9% 6.6% 5.6% 3.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Catherine Kerner 2.1% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.4% 4.2% 4.7% 4.6% 5.5% 5.8% 8.3% 11.4% 22.0% 16.6%
Michael Gemperline 8.0% 8.0% 6.8% 7.9% 7.8% 7.0% 8.3% 7.6% 6.8% 6.4% 5.2% 6.8% 5.0% 3.4% 3.7% 1.3%
Thomas Walden 5.5% 5.3% 5.0% 4.3% 5.7% 5.7% 5.6% 7.8% 6.1% 7.6% 9.8% 7.8% 8.4% 7.2% 6.3% 1.9%
Cameron Holley 10.4% 9.9% 9.7% 9.2% 6.8% 7.9% 8.7% 7.1% 7.3% 6.1% 4.8% 3.7% 3.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Benjamin Craig 4.2% 3.5% 2.8% 3.1% 5.5% 5.4% 4.5% 6.3% 5.9% 6.6% 5.9% 6.8% 8.5% 11.0% 12.8% 7.2%
Matt Cappetta 5.1% 6.1% 8.0% 6.2% 5.7% 6.5% 7.5% 6.8% 7.1% 7.5% 7.2% 7.1% 6.2% 6.8% 4.8% 1.4%
Duncan Williford 9.6% 9.5% 9.9% 9.9% 8.2% 8.7% 7.1% 6.8% 6.1% 6.5% 4.4% 4.9% 4.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.6%
Matthew Lyons 6.7% 5.8% 6.1% 6.2% 7.4% 7.4% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 8.0% 7.0% 6.5% 7.8% 6.0% 4.5% 0.6%
Raymond Manngiaratti 0.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.8% 1.6% 1.3% 2.4% 1.6% 3.1% 3.2% 4.3% 6.4% 13.8% 57.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.