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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+9.88vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+6.89vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+6.56vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+6.23vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.33vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.47vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61+3.61vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.47+3.11vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.95vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.05vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-1.90vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.18-3.51vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29-2.44vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-3.36vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.76-5.99vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.09-8.28vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.88University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.89Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.23Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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7.33Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.61Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.11Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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7.05Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.05U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.49Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
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11.64Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.01Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.66Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 14.5% |
| Emma White | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Emily Wright | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 14.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% |
| Paris Henken | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.