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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.64vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+7.21vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.68vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+6.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+3.08vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+1.09vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+2.29vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+2.66vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.41vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.47+1.41vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-2.33vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.15vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.50vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.76-4.33vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-5.15vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29-3.96vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.61-6.28vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.36-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.21Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.3Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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8.08Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.59Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.41Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.67College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.15U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.67Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.85Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
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10.72Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.46Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Emma White | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% |
| Paris Henken | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Emily Wright | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 15.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.