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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+6.89vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+6.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+4.05vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+2.06vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+5.69vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.47+4.12vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76+1.85vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.77vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-1.21vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.91vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-2.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29-1.29vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-4.40vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-4.44vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-5.21vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.20vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.65-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.89Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.05Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.69Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.12Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.85Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.79College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
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9.6Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.56Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.21Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Paris Henken | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.1% |
| Emma White | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Emily Wright | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.