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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+9.61vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+7.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.91vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+5.57vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+2.91vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.76vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-0.67vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.35vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.63vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.47+0.32vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-0.98vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.09-4.60vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.18-6.19vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.76-5.17vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29-4.01vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.36-5.19vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.61Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.91Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.33Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.02Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.4College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.81Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.83Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
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11.81Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% |
| Emma White | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% |
| Paris Henken | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Emily Wright | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 15.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 14.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.