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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+9.95vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+6.34vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+7.88vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+6.30vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.09+3.48vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.44vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29+2.91vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-0.47vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.76vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-1.71vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.76-3.20vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-2.68vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.39vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.99-7.01vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.47-5.64vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.95University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.34Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.88Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.3Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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8.48College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.55Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.29Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.32Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.36Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
| Paris Henken | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Emily Wright | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Emma White | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.