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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.64vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+7.52vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+6.21vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+6.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.52vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18+2.07vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61+3.56vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29+2.23vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.47+0.34vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.09-3.13vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.76-3.20vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-5.64vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-7.95vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-6.06vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.36-5.27vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.65-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.21Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.07Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.56Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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12.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.36Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.94Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.73Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.21Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Emma White | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.6% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% |
| Emily Wright | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% |
| Paris Henken | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.