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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+7.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.64vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+4.32vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+6.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29+6.75vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+3.32vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.42vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76+1.88vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.35vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.47+1.43vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-2.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.13vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.36-1.54vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-5.63vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-4.30vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-6.01vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.65-6.41vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.99-9.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.88Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.43Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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12.13U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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11.46Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.37Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.99Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% |
| Emily Wright | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 15.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Emma White | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.