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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.31vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University1.95+2.09vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.50+1.73vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.97-0.23vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-1.30vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.70-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21+1.22vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.97-0.06vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College1.73-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31U. S. Naval Academy2.990.4%1st Place
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4.09Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
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4.73Princeton University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.77Christopher Newport University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.7Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.2%1st Place
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5.96Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.94Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.29Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 39.3% | 23.1% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 9.1% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Gene Merewether | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 14.1% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 15.5% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 34.4% | 16.2% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 30.5% | 55.6% |
| Daniel Drummond | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 41.4% | 40.2% |
| Zachary Schippe | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.