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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.61+3.24vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.65+5.23vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois2.51-0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago1.01+2.18vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University1.15+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.14+0.17vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.41+3.48vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.98-1.81vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University0.96-2.10vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.44+3.32vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-0.71+0.05vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.31-1.82vs Predicted
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13Hope College-0.77-1.73vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-0.85-2.88vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University-0.80-3.39vs Predicted
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16University of Toledo-2.87+0.28vs Predicted
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17Western Michigan University-1.85-2.95vs Predicted
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18Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24University of Notre Dame1.6114.5%1st Place
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7.23Ohio State University0.654.7%1st Place
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2.58University of Illinois2.5133.7%1st Place
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6.18University of Chicago1.017.5%1st Place
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5.37Ohio State University1.159.5%1st Place
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6.17University of Wisconsin1.147.2%1st Place
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10.48Purdue University-0.411.2%1st Place
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6.19University of Michigan0.987.0%1st Place
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6.9Michigan Technological University0.965.4%1st Place
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13.32University of Michigan-1.440.9%1st Place
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11.05Michigan State University-0.711.4%1st Place
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10.18Hope College-0.312.2%1st Place
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11.27Hope College-0.771.2%1st Place
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11.12Grand Valley State University-0.851.6%1st Place
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11.61Northern Michigan University-0.801.1%1st Place
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16.28University of Toledo-2.870.1%1st Place
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14.05Western Michigan University-1.850.4%1st Place
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16.78Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 14.5% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Pendergast | 33.7% | 25.2% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailyn Merkle | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Reynolds | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Pyenta | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 3.4% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Henry | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Ted Johnston | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 32.0% | 35.4% |
| William O'Haver | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 22.0% | 17.3% | 5.1% |
| Piper Luke | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 23.4% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.