← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.09+7.77vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+5.31vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.05+5.92vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.61vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.99+3.87vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.51vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.91+2.28vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29+3.80vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.35-1.69vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.47+1.42vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.65-0.42vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.36+0.01vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.18-5.01vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.77-4.36vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.26vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University2.61-5.34vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.76-6.92vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont2.58-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.77College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.31Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.92Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.87Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
5.49University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
9.28Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
11.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
-
7.31Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
11.42Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
-
10.58Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
-
12.01Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.99Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.64Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
11.74U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
10.66Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.08Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
-
10.54University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Emma White | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Emily Wright | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 15.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.