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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.79vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+8.98vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.89vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+7.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+4.24vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+5.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29+4.91vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18+0.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-2.01vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-2.34vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-2.35vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-1.06vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-4.43vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-3.92vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.76-5.07vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-6.00vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.47-5.69vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.99-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.67Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
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8.06Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.65College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.94Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.57Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.08Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.93Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.0Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.31Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 14.0% |
| Emily Wright | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Paris Henken | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% |
| Emma White | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.