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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+8.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29+10.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.67vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.47+7.03vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+5.52vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.70vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+1.70vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-0.95vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.69vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58+0.97vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-1.89vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.76-1.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-2.76vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.09-5.75vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.27vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.18-7.81vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.36-5.19vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.03Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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10.52Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.7Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.3Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.24Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.73U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.19Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.81Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.72Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Emily Wright | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Emma White | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Paris Henken | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.