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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.88vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+8.89vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+7.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+7.55vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.09+3.45vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+3.96vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.47+4.17vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+2.68vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.36vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-4.25vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.79vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-4.22vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-3.89vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-2.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29-3.13vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-6.02vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.99-7.83vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.18-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.89Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.7Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.96Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.17Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.21Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.34Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
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9.98Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% |
| Paris Henken | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 13.4% |
| Emily Wright | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| Emma White | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.