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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.29+10.18vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.94vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+5.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+3.10vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.41vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.65vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65+1.40vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.47+1.45vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-2.36vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-0.97vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-4.23vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-7.17vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-5.15vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.36-4.25vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.61-6.30vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-9.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.290.0%1st Place
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8.94Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.1Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.41Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.93Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.4Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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11.45Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.64College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.85Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.75Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.7Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 11.2% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Wright | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% |
| Paris Henken | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% |
| Emma White | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.