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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+6.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.48+7.40vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+6.33vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+6.06vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+0.62vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+0.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.87+4.65vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+5.45vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+1.61vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-4.03vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.79+1.04vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86+0.05vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.19-2.90vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.67-5.94vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.02-8.13vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.04-4.98vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-7.81vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.97-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.4Boston College2.480.0%1st Place
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9.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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10.61Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.97Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.04Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.05Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.1Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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8.06College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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11.02Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.19Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Lily McGrath | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.9% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 26.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Williams | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 14.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Grace Howie | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% |
| Charlotte List | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Annie Spence | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.