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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+6.28vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.67+6.70vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.97+8.62vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+5.11vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.14vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+4.32vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-1.10vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.58+0.80vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+1.88vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-1.95vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.06-3.96vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.87+0.13vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-2.01vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-0.59vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-9.34vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.48-6.62vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.19-6.37vs Predicted
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18Harvard University1.79-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.7College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.9Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.13U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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10.99Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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10.63Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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11.95Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Annie Spence | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% |
| Charlotte List | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.3% |
| Grace Howie | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 26.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Jessica Williams | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.