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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.12vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+6.00vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+4.07vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+6.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+5.24vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.67+2.51vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.58+1.85vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+3.06vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.87+2.85vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-4.02vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-1.60vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.19-1.14vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.02-6.04vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.10vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.79-2.96vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.48-6.64vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.97-5.44vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.71Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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8.85Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.06Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.4Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.86Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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6.96Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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12.04Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston College2.480.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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13.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Grace Howie | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 9.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Jessica Williams | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% |
| Lily McGrath | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.