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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.61+3.38vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois2.51+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago1.01+3.25vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.65+3.14vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University1.15+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.98-0.06vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.96-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.14-1.89vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.71+2.07vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.31+0.13vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.41-0.57vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-0.85-0.60vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-0.80-1.50vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-1.44-0.85vs Predicted
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15Hope College-0.77-3.69vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-1.85-1.76vs Predicted
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17University of Toledo-2.87-0.81vs Predicted
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18Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of Notre Dame1.6113.6%1st Place
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2.63University of Illinois2.5132.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Chicago1.016.3%1st Place
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7.14Ohio State University0.655.5%1st Place
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5.37Ohio State University1.1510.6%1st Place
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5.94University of Michigan0.988.2%1st Place
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6.89Michigan Technological University0.966.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Wisconsin1.147.3%1st Place
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11.07Michigan State University-0.711.5%1st Place
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10.13Hope College-0.312.1%1st Place
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10.43Purdue University-0.411.7%1st Place
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11.4Grand Valley State University-0.850.9%1st Place
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11.5Northern Michigan University-0.801.1%1st Place
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13.15University of Michigan-1.440.8%1st Place
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11.31Hope College-0.771.7%1st Place
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14.24Western Michigan University-1.850.4%1st Place
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16.19University of Toledo-2.870.1%1st Place
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16.88Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 13.6% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Pendergast | 32.0% | 25.3% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Reynolds | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Henry | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kailyn Merkle | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ted Johnston | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Mia Pyenta | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.0% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| William O'Haver | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 24.0% | 17.0% | 5.8% |
| Cooper Avery | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 33.1% | 34.2% |
| Piper Luke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 8.6% | 24.2% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.