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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+6.14vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+7.47vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+4.99vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.86vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.19+5.32vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.67+2.45vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.48+2.26vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+1.14vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+1.81vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04+1.37vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.58-1.94vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-1.28vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.02-6.09vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.87-2.53vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-9.26vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.79-3.82vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-3.14vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.97-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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7.99Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.86Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.32Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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9.26Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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9.14Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.81Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.37Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.06Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.72Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.91Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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11.47U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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5.74University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.18Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
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13.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Grace Howie | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Williams | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 29.5% |
| Annie Spence | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.