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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.49+8.33vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+5.86vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02+4.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+9.37vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.48+4.16vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.97+5.29vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.67+1.32vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11+2.61vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04+2.04vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.64vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-0.63vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86+0.08vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.06-6.25vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.33-8.39vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.43vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.37-10.25vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.19-6.46vs Predicted
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18Harvard University1.79-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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13.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.16Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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8.32College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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10.61Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.04Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.08Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.61Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.54Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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11.86Harvard University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 26.2% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Annie Spence | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
| Grace Howie | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Jessica Williams | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.